Private beta ·

Introducing

Commit-1

The decision model for go-to-market.

Ask whether an account will buy, reply or churn. Commit-1 pulls together what's knowable about it today and returns a calibrated probability in under a second, for a fraction of a cent.

Keys go out in the order requests arrive.
01/ 04
One account.

asks about . Commit-1 assembles the account's context, weighs each feature and returns one number.

02/ 04
1,000 accounts.

Run the same question across a segment. Each account gets its own context and its own probability.

03/ 04
100,000 accounts.

Your whole market in about , for about . Color shows probability.

04/ 04
Start at the top.

The highest-probability accounts sit at the center. ranks # of 100,000.

seller ·
asks about
account ·
commit-1 · as of
Example
QuestionWill open an opportunity with in the next 90 days?
p(opportunity, 90 days)
0.12
0base rate 0.121
Assembling context…
Of the accounts Commit-1 scores around 0.72, about 72% open an opportunity.
Accounts scored
1
Context read
8k tokens
Same question, three waysTimeCost Commit-1 A general LLM (you build the context) Manual research
color = p01Example
Scroll ↓
Where it runs

Works where you already work.

One number per account fits any tool that can sort, filter or branch.

A column in Clay

Add a Commit-1 column. Every row gets a probability.

AccountOwnerCommit-1 · opp_90d
Dana R.0.72
Sam K.0.97
Dana R.0.31
Priya N.0.08

A gate for agents

Let your agent send only when p > 0.3.

New signal→commit-1 · reply_14d→if p > 0.3
p = 0.44 → sendp = 0.07 → wait

Territory ranking

Rank every account in a territory on one scale.

Timing

Ask about 30, 60 and 90 days to see when an account warms up.

0.2130d
0.4860d
0.7290d

Choosing a play

Ask once per play and run the one with the best odds.

If we lead with ROI…0.41
If our former champion intros us…0.63
If we wait a quarter…0.29
Why it works

It learned from accounts that did, or didn't, buy.

Every training example is a real account, frozen on a past date and labelled with what it did next: opened an opportunity, replied, churned, or nothing at all. Commit-1 learned what tends to come before each outcome, across many companies' sales history.

01

Language models guess.

Ask a chatbot whether an account will buy and you get a plausible paragraph. It has never seen what accounts did after a leadership change, or what a hiring spike in the buying team means for next quarter. Commit-1 has.

02

Only what was knowable.

We replay history in the order it arrived. In training, the model sees an account exactly as it looked on that date, and the label comes only from what happened after. That's what keeps the probabilities honest.

"snapshot_at": "2026-03-01",
"account": "",
"seller": "",
"features": 150,
"question": "opportunity within 90 days",
"label": 1
× millions of rowsmany companiesreplayed in arrival order
One training example: everything knowable on March 1, and whether an opportunity opened in the next 90 days.Example
03

A number you can build on.

Commit-1 returns a probability, not prose. Put it in a filter, a sort or an if-statement.

{ "type": "yes_no", "p": 0.72 }
Running now

Better every week.

Each week brings new outcomes. A new candidate trains on them and ships only if it beats the live model on accounts and months it never saw. We tune how context is assembled in the same loop.

Live · candidate 2026-W43 in validation
Commit-1General LLM promptPerfect calibration
Predicted vs. actual, on accounts and months held out from training.Example

Thresholds you can trust.

Of every 100 accounts Commit-1 scores at 0.7, about 70 open an opportunity. So a rule like "call everything above 0.6" does what you expect. We check this on accounts and months the model never saw in training.

API

One endpoint.

Send an account, a seller and as many questions as you like. Get a probability for each.

POST https://api.commitlabs.ai/v1/deciderequest
{
  "model": "commit-1",
  "account": "",
  "seller": "",
  "questions": {
    "opp_90d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "instructions": "Will  open an opportunity with us in the next 90 days?"
    }
  }
}
200 OKresponse
{
  "model": "commit-1",
  "answers": {
    "opp_90d": {
      "type": "yes_no",
      "p": 0.72
    }
  }
}
input · domainNo context to build: send a domain.
output · 0 ≤ p ≤ 1Probabilities only, from 0 to 1.
price · per questionPriced per question, low enough to score every account.
Private beta

Score your market with Commit-1.

Leave your email and we'll send you an API key. Keys go out in the order requests arrive.